PlayDecoded
Menu
MLB2026 season

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Minnesota Twins

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Jun 21, 2026

Diamondbacks logo
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
2
vs
Twins logo
MIN
Minnesota Twins
4
ARI 54%46% MIN
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
33%
1 of 3 decided games
Meetings graded
3
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Offensive Efficiency — Diamondbacks offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.4 R/G)
Minnesota Twins
  • Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
  • Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.