PlayDecoded
Menu
MLB2026 season

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Fri, Mar 13, 2026

Royals logo
KC
Kansas City Royals
5
vs
Diamondbacks logo
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
11
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Offensive Efficiency — Diamondbacks offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.4 R/G)
Kansas City Royals
  • Home Field Advantage — Royals are 32-38 at home this season; Guardians are 38-32 on the road

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.