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Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
1
vs
Blue Jays logo
Blue Jays
Toronto
4
DET 53%47% TOR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueComerica Park
Detroit, Michigan

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blue Jays (away)
Tigers (home)
47%
Win probability
53%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blue Jays defeated the Tigers 4-1.

Our model predicted the Tigers would win with 53% confidence, but the Blue Jays pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Tigers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Tigers (0 out) vs Blue Jays (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blue Jays won 1-4

Blue Jays won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Tigers at 53%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TOR
DET
Home Field Advantage
Favours TOR|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/17/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Blue Jays

Dylan CeaseSP
Patrick CorbinSP
Kevin GausmanSP
Trey YesavageSP
George SpringerDH

Tigers

Casey MizeSP
Framber ValdezSP
Keider MonteroSP
Jack FlahertySP
Kevin McGonigleSS

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Tigers has a 53% win probability, while Blue Jays has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan.

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