Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
BAL 54%46% TB
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Rays (away)
Orioles (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Orioles54%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors BAL
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
TB
BAL
Home Field Advantage
Favours TB|Favours BAL
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/23/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Rays
No player data available
Orioles
Chris BassittSP
Trevor RogersSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP
Brandon YoungSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Orioles has a 54% win probability, while Rays has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.