St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Cardinals (away)
Padres (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Padres won 3-2
Padres won in a close game
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Padres at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
STL
SD
Home Field Advantage
Favours STL|Favours SD
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/10/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Cardinals
Matthew LiberatoreSP
Dustin MaySP
Andre PallanteSP
Kyle LeahySP
Michael McGreevySP
Padres
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Padres has a 55% win probability, while Cardinals has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Petco Park in San Diego, California.