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San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Brewers logo
Brewers
Milwaukee
6
vs
Padres logo
Padres
San Diego
4
MIL 55%45% SD

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VenueAmerican Family Field
Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Padres (away)
Brewers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Brewers defeated the Padres 6-4.

Our model predicted the Brewers would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Brewers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Brewers won 6-4

Brewers won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Brewers at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SD
MIL
Home Field Advantage
Favours SD|Favours MIL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/12/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Padres

No player data available

Brewers

Logan HendersonSP
Jacob MisiorowskiSP
Robert GasserSP
Chad PatrickSP
Brandon SproatSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Brewers has a 55% win probability, while Padres has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

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