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Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Giants logo
Giants
San Francisco
5
vs
Pirates logo
Pirates
Pittsburgh
2
SF 57%43% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueOracle Park
San Francisco, California

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Pirates (away)
Giants (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Giants defeated the Pirates 5-2.

Our model predicted the Giants would win with 57% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Giants and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Giants and was a contributing factor: Giants rest advantage (2 days rest) over Pirates (1 day rest)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Giants won 5-2

Giants won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Giants at 57%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PIT
SF
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours PIT|Favours SF

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/8/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Pirates

Paul SkenesSP
Bubba ChandlerSP
Mitch KellerSP
Braxton AshcraftSP
Carmen MlodzinskiSP

Giants

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Giants has a 57% win probability, while Pirates has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California.

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