Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
New York Mets 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Mets:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Phillies at Mets
The Phillies visit the Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York in 2026-2027 MLB regular play.
Our model gives the Mets a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Phillies will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Mets (medium): Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Mets (0 out) vs Phillies (0 out)
- Weather Impact is neutral: Weather data not available
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Mets
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Phillies
Mets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mets has a 55% win probability, while Phillies has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Citi Field in Queens, New York.