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Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
0
vs
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
0
KC 56%44% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Kansas City Royals 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Royals:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days. Royals rest advantage (3 days rest) over Phillies (4 days rest)

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VenueKauffman Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Phillies (away)
Royals (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Phillies at Royals

The Phillies visit the Royals at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri in 2026-2027 MLB regular play.

Our model gives the Royals a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Phillies will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Royals (medium): Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favors the Royals (low): Royals rest advantage (3 days rest) over Phillies (4 days rest)
  • Recent Form is neutral: No recent form data available
Royals56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors KC

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Kansas City Royals
  • Rest DaysFavors Kansas City Royals
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
KC
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours PHI|Favours KC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 7/4/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Phillies

Aaron NolaSP
Zack WheelerSP
Andrew PainterSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Jesus LuzardoSP

Royals

Noah CameronSP
Stephen KolekSP
Seth LugoSP
Michael WachaSP
Carter JensenC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Royals has a 56% win probability, while Phillies has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

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