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Oakland Oakland Athletics at Philadelphia Phillies

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
1
vs
PHI 55%45% OAK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCitizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Oakland Athletics (away)
Phillies (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Oakland Athletics defeated the Phillies 12-1.

Our model predicted the Phillies would win with 55% confidence, but the Oakland Athletics pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Phillies and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Oakland Athletics won 1-12

Oakland Athletics won comfortably

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Phillies at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

OAK
PHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours OAK|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/7/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Oakland Athletics

Luis SeverinoSP
Aaron CivaleSP
J.T. GinnSP
Jacob LopezSP
Jeffrey SpringsSP

Phillies

Aaron NolaSP
Zack WheelerSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Andrew PainterSP
Jesus LuzardoSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Phillies has a 55% win probability, while Oakland Athletics has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

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