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Oakland Oakland Athletics at Chicago Chicago White Sox

MLBregular โ€ข 2026-2027 Season
completed
CWS 55%45% OAK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Chicago Chicago White Sox 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Chicago White Sox:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueRate Field
Chicago, Illinois

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Oakland Athletics (away)
Chicago White Sox (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Oakland Athletics 9-1.

Our model predicted the Chicago White Sox would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Chicago White Sox and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Chicago White Sox (0 out) vs Oakland Athletics (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Chicago White Sox won 9-1

Chicago White Sox won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Chicago White Sox at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

OAK
CWS
Home Field Advantage
Favours OAK|Favours CWS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 7/12/2026, 6:00:08 PM

Key Players

Oakland Athletics

Kade MorrisSP
Luis MoralesSP
Gage JumpSP
Luis SeverinoSP
Jacob LopezSP

Chicago White Sox

Noah SchultzSP
Joe RockSP
Erick FeddeSP
Luis CastilloSP
Sean BurkeSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Chicago White Sox has a 55% win probability, while Oakland Athletics has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois.

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