New York Mets at Washington Nationals
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Mets (away)
Nationals (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Mets won 1-2
Mets won in a close game
Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Nationals at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
NYM
WSH
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYM|Favours WSH
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/21/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Mets
David PetersonSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Nationals
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Nationals has a 55% win probability, while Mets has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia.