Miami Marlins at New York Mets
New York Mets 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Mets:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Marlins at Mets
The Marlins visit the Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York in 2026-2027 MLB regular play.
Our model gives the Mets a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Marlins will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Mets (medium): Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- ELO Rating is neutral: No ELO ratings available
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: No defensive stats available for comparison
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Mets
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Marlins
Mets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mets has a 55% win probability, while Marlins has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Citi Field in Queens, New York.