Houston Astros at Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Nationals:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- ELO Rating. Nationals ELO 1576 vs Astros ELO 1495 (diff: +81)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Washington Nationals
- Rest DaysFavors Houston Astros
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Astros
Nationals
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Nationals has a 56% win probability, while Astros has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia.