Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Astros (away)
Reds (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Reds won 5-0
Reds won by a solid margin
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Reds at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
HOU
CIN
Home Field Advantage
Favours HOU|Favours CIN
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/10/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Astros
Mike BurrowsSP
Peter LambertSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Tatsuya ImaiSP
Cesar SalazarC
Reds
Andrew AbbottSP
Chase BurnsSP
Nick LodoloSP
Chris PaddackSP
Brady SingerSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Reds has a 55% win probability, while Astros has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.