PlayDecoded
Menu

Chicago Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels

MLBregular • 2026 Season
completed
Angels logo
Angels
Los Angeles
0
vs
LAA 55%45% CWS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Angels 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Angels:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: LAA 52% (−3)

Win probability movement

LAA home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement60%55%50%May 1May 4

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueAngel Stadium
Anaheim, California

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Chicago White Sox (away)
Angels (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Angels 6-0.

Our model predicted the Angels would win with 55% confidence, but the Chicago White Sox won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Angels and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Chicago White Sox won 0-6

Chicago White Sox won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Angels at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Angels
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CWS
LAA
Home Field Advantage
Favours CWS|Favours LAA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Angels

Our Model55%

Chicago White Sox

Our Model45%

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/4/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Chicago White Sox

Sean BurkeSP
Davis MartinSP
Anthony KaySP
Hagen SmithSP
Noah SchultzSP

Angels

Yusei KikuchiSP
Ryan JohnsonSP
Luke MurphyRP
Grayson RodriguezSP
Jack KochanowiczSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Angels has a 55% win probability, while Chicago White Sox has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California.

View all MLB games