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Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
9
vs
Rockies logo
Rockies
Colorado
3
PHI 55%45% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCitizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rockies (away)
Phillies (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Phillies defeated the Rockies 9-3.

Our model predicted the Phillies would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Phillies and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Phillies (0 out) vs Rockies (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Phillies won 9-3

Phillies won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Phillies at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
PHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours COL|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Rockies

Tomoyuki SuganoSP
Michael LorenzenSP
Blas CastanoSP
Kyle FreelandSP
Jose QuintanaSP

Phillies

Zack WheelerSP
Andrew PainterSP
Aaron NolaSP
Jesus LuzardoSP
Cristopher SanchezSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Phillies has a 55% win probability, while Rockies has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

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