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Colorado Rockies at Kansas City Royals

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
6
vs
Rockies logo
Rockies
Colorado
5
KC 45%55% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSurprise Stadium
Surprise, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rockies (away)
Royals (home)
55%
Win probability
45%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Royals defeated the Rockies 6-5.

Our model predicted the Rockies would win with 55% confidence, but the Royals pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Rockies

Sean SullivanSP
TJ ShookSP
Ryan FeltnerSP
Tomoyuki SuganoSP
Michael LorenzenSP

Royals

Noah CameronSP
Randy DobnakSP
Seth LugoSP
Michael WachaSP
Stephen KolekSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Royals has a 45% win probability, while Rockies has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Surprise Stadium in Surprise, Arizona.

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Colorado Rockies at Kansas City Royals - Mar 21, 2026 - MLB | PlayDecoded