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Colorado Rockies at Kansas City Royals

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
6
vs
Rockies logo
Rockies
Colorado
5
KC 55%45% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSurprise Stadium
Surprise, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rockies (away)
Royals (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Royals defeated the Rockies 6-5.

Our model predicted the Royals would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Royals and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Royals won 6-5

Royals won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Royals at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
KC
Home Field Advantage
Favours COL|Favours KC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/21/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Rockies

Jose QuintanaSP
Michael LorenzenSP
Blas CastanoSP
Kyle FreelandSP
Tomoyuki SuganoSP

Royals

Seth LugoSP
Noah CameronSP
Michael WachaSP
Stephen KolekSP
Elias DiazC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Royals has a 55% win probability, while Rockies has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Surprise Stadium in Surprise, Arizona.

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