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Boston Red Sox at Oakland Oakland Athletics

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
Oakland Athletics logo
Oakland Athletics
Oakland
0
vs
Red Sox logo
Red Sox
Boston
0
OAK 56%44% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Oakland Oakland Athletics 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Oakland Athletics:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • ELO Rating. Oakland Athletics ELO 1492 vs Red Sox ELO 1468 (diff: +24)

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VenueSutter Health Park
Sacramento, California

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Sox (away)
Oakland Athletics (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Red Sox at Oakland Athletics

The Red Sox visit the Oakland Athletics at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California in 2026-2027 MLB regular play.

Our model gives the Oakland Athletics a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Red Sox will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Oakland Athletics (medium): Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency is neutral: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Defensive Efficiency is neutral: No defensive stats available for comparison
Oakland Athletics56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors OAK

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Oakland Oakland Athletics
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
OAK
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours OAK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 7/24/2026, 8:45:03 AM

Key Players

Red Sox

Ranger SuarezSP
Payton TolleSP
Jake BennettSP
Connelly EarlySP
Sonny GraySP

Oakland Athletics

Jeffrey SpringsSP
Kade MorrisSP
Luis MoralesSP
Luis SeverinoSP
Gage JumpSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Deep Dive

MLB Weather Impact

How wind and temperature affect baseball outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Oakland Athletics has a 56% win probability, while Red Sox has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California.

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