Boston Red Sox at New York Mets
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
NYM 55%45% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
New York Mets 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Mets:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Red Sox (away)
Mets (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Mets55%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors NYM
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Mets
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
BOS
NYM
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours NYM
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 7/8/2026, 8:45:03 AM
Key Players
Red Sox
Connelly EarlySP
Payton TolleSP
Sonny GraySP
Jake BennettSP
Ranger SuarezSP
Mets
Kodai SengaSP
Jonah TongSP
Christian ScottSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mets has a 55% win probability, while Red Sox has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Citi Field in Queens, New York.