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Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
1
vs
Red Sox logo
Red Sox
Boston
7
KC 55%45% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueKauffman Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Sox (away)
Royals (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Red Sox defeated the Royals 7-1.

Our model predicted the Royals would win with 55% confidence, but the Red Sox pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Royals and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Red Sox won 1-7

Red Sox won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Royals at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
KC
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours KC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/19/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Red Sox

Ranger SuarezSP
Brayan BelloSP
Connelly EarlySP
Sonny GraySP
Payton TolleSP

Royals

Seth LugoSP
Noah CameronSP
Michael WachaSP
Stephen KolekSP
Elias DiazC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Royals has a 55% win probability, while Red Sox has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

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