Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
COL 56%44% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Colorado Rockies 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Rockies:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- ELO Rating. Rockies ELO 1505 vs Red Sox ELO 1468 (diff: +37)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Red Sox (away)
Rockies (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Rockies56%
is favored to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors COL
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Rockies
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Rockies
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
BOS
COL
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours COL
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/19/2026, 8:45:03 AM
Key Players
Red Sox
Payton TolleSP
Jake BennettSP
Brayan BelloSP
Connelly EarlySP
Ranger SuarezSP
Rockies
Sean SullivanSP
TJ ShookSP
Ryan FeltnerSP
Kyle FreelandSP
Michael LorenzenSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rockies has a 56% win probability, while Red Sox has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado.