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Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Angels

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Angels head-to-head

MLBregular • 2026 Season
completed
Angels logo
Angels
Los Angeles
4
vs
Diamondbacks logo
Diamondbacks
Arizona
1
LAA 56%44% ARI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Angels 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Angels:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: LAA 52% (−4)

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VenueCamelback Ranch - Glendale
Phoenix, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Diamondbacks (away)
Angels (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Angels defeated the Diamondbacks 4-1.

Our model predicted the Angels would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Angels and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Angels won 4-1

Angels won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Angels at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Angels
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ARI
LAA
Home Field Advantage
Favours ARI|Favours LAA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/9/2026, 7:27:55 AM

Key Players

Diamondbacks

Merrill KellySP
Michael SorokaSP
Ryne NelsonSP
Eduardo RodriguezSP
Zac GallenSP

Angels

Luke MurphyRP
Reid DetmersSP
Jack KochanowiczSP
Yusei KikuchiSP
Ryan JohnsonSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Angels has a 56% win probability, while Diamondbacks has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Camelback Ranch - Glendale in Phoenix, Arizona.

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