Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Flyers:
- Home Field Advantage. Flyers are 1-0 at home this season; Capitals are 0-1 on the road
- Rest Days. Flyers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Capitals (back-to-back)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Capitals defeated the Flyers 5-1.
Our model predicted the Flyers would win with 61% confidence, but the Capitals pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flyers and was a major factor: Flyers are 1-0 at home this season; Capitals are 0-1 on the road
- Rest Days favored the Flyers and was a major factor: Flyers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Capitals (back-to-back)
- Injuries favored the Capitals and was a notable factor: Capitals healthier (2 out, 0 doubtful) vs Flyers (2 out, 0 doubtful)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flyers have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Capitals have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Capitals won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- InjuriesFavors Washington Capitals
- ELO RatingFavors Washington Capitals
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Flyers are 1-0 at home this season; Capitals are 0-1 on the road
Rest Days
Flyers rest advantage (1 day rest) over Capitals (back-to-back)
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flyers has a 61% win probability, while Capitals has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.