Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blackhawks:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CHI 51% (−5)
- If the rest edge were neutral: CHI 56% (0)
Win probability movement
CHI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Jets defeated the Blackhawks 4-3.
Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 56% confidence, but the Jets won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Blackhawks (2 days rest) vs Jets (3 days rest)
- Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Blackhawks (0 out) vs Jets (0 out)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Jets won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Blackhawks
Jets
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Jets
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 56% win probability, while Jets has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.