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Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
completed
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
2
vs
SEA 50%51% VGK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Vegas Golden Knights 51% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Golden Knights:

  • Injuries. Golden Knights healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Kraken 2 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating. Kraken ELO 1483 vs Golden Knights ELO 1546 (diff: -63)

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Golden Knights (away)
Kraken (home)
51%
Win probability
50%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Golden Knights defeated the Kraken 6-2.

Our model predicted the Golden Knights would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Golden Knights and was a notable factor: Golden Knights healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Kraken 2 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken are 3-0 at home this season; Golden Knights are 3-0 on the road
  • ELO Rating favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Kraken ELO 1483 vs Golden Knights ELO 1546 (diff: -63)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kraken have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Golden Knights have 2.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Golden Knights won 2-6

Golden Knights won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Golden Knights at 51%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Vegas Golden Knights
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

VGK
SEA
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours VGK|Favours SEA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/7/2026, 1:30:01 AM

Key Players

Golden Knights

Carter HartG
Adin HillG
Jack EichelC
Marc GatcombC
Nic DowdC

Kraken

Philipp GrubauerG
Joey DaccordG
Frederick GaudreauC
Bobby McMannC
Ben MeyersC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 50% win probability, while Golden Knights has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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