Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Golden Knights:
- Recent Form. Golden Knights (8-2) in better form than Penguins (3-6)
- ELO Rating. Penguins ELO 1481 vs Golden Knights ELO 1573 (diff: -91)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Golden Knights at Penguins
The Golden Knights visit the Penguins at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Golden Knights a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Penguins will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Recent Form favors the Golden Knights (medium): Golden Knights (8-2) in better form than Penguins (3-6)
- ELO Rating favors the Golden Knights (low): Penguins ELO 1481 vs Golden Knights ELO 1573 (diff: -91)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Penguins (low): Penguins are 3-2 at home this season; Golden Knights are 5-1 on the road
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
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Other
Low impact1 factor
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Key Players
Golden Knights
Penguins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Penguins has a 45% win probability, while Golden Knights has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.

