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Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
4
vs
CAR 56%44% VGK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Carolina Hurricanes 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hurricanes:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days. Hurricanes rest advantage (4 days rest) over Golden Knights (6 days rest)

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VenueLenovo Center
Raleigh, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Golden Knights (away)
Hurricanes (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Golden Knights defeated the Hurricanes 5-4.

Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 56% confidence, but the Golden Knights pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Hurricanes rest advantage (4 days rest) over Golden Knights (6 days rest)
  • ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: No ELO ratings available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Golden Knights won 4-5

Golden Knights won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Hurricanes at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Rest DaysFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

VGK
CAR
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours VGK|Favours CAR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/2/2026, 11:45:01 PM

Key Players

Golden Knights

Carl LindbomG
Carter HartG
Adin HillG
William KarlssonC
Raphael LavoieC

Hurricanes

Pyotr KochetkovG
Amir MiftakhovG
Brandon BussiG
Seth JarvisC
Jesperi KotkaniemiC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Hurricanes has a 56% win probability, while Golden Knights has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.

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