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Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Ducks logo
Ducks
Anaheim
1
vs
ANA 55%45% VGK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueHonda Center
Anaheim, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Golden Knights (away)
Ducks (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Golden Knights defeated the Ducks 5-1.

Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 55% confidence, but the Golden Knights pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Ducks and was a contributing factor: Ducks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights defense (3.1 Opp PPG) better than Ducks (3.5 Opp PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Ducks and was a contributing factor: Ducks (35-24) in better form than Golden Knights (29-20)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Golden Knights won 1-5

Golden Knights won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Ducks at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

VGK
ANA
Home Field Advantage
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours VGK|Favours ANA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/14/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Golden Knights

Carl LindbomG
Adin HillG
Carter HartG
Akira SchmidG
Raphael LavoieC

Ducks

Damian ClaraG
Lukas DostalG
Ville HussoG
Petr MrazekG
Vyacheslav ButeyetsG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Ducks has a 55% win probability, while Golden Knights has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA.

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