Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild 63% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Wild:
- Rest Days. Wild rest advantage (5 days rest) over Canucks (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the rest edge were neutral: MIN 56% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 59% (−4)
Win probability movement
MIN home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Wild defeated the Canucks 5-2.
Our model predicted the Wild would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Wild and was a major factor: Wild rest advantage (5 days rest) over Canucks (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Wild and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Wild won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Rest DaysFavors Minnesota Wild
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Wild
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Wild
Canucks
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Wild rest advantage (5 days rest) over Canucks (back-to-back)
1 factor
Key Players
Canucks
Wild
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Wild has a 63% win probability, while Canucks has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.