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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights

NHLpreseason • 2027-2028 Season
completed
VGK 61%39% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Vegas Golden Knights 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Golden Knights:

  • Home Field Advantage. First home game of the season for Golden Knights; Utah Hockey Club are 1-1 on the road
  • Injuries. Golden Knights healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Utah Hockey Club (2 out, 0 doubtful)
  • ELO Rating. Golden Knights ELO 1549 vs Utah Hockey Club ELO 1484 (diff: +66)

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VenueT-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Golden Knights (home)
39%
Win probability
61%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Golden Knights defeated the Utah Hockey Club 5-4.

Our model predicted the Golden Knights would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Golden Knights and was a notable factor: First home game of the season for Golden Knights; Utah Hockey Club are 1-1 on the road
  • Injuries favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Utah Hockey Club (2 out, 0 doubtful)
  • ELO Rating favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights ELO 1549 vs Utah Hockey Club ELO 1484 (diff: +66)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Golden Knights have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Utah Hockey Club have 2.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Golden Knights won 5-4

Golden Knights won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Golden Knights at 61%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Vegas Golden Knights
  • InjuriesFavors Vegas Golden Knights
  • ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
VGK
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
ELO Rating
Favours UTA|Favours VGK

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 9/25/2026, 1:45:01 AM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Golden Knights has a 61% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.

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