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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Minnesota Wild

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
5
vs
MIN 58%42% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Minnesota Wild 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Wild:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days. Wild rest advantage (2 days rest) over Utah Hockey Club (7 days rest)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 53% (−5)
  • If the rest edge were neutral: MIN 56% (−2)

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VenueGrand Casino Arena
Saint Paul, MN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Wild (home)
42%
Win probability
58%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Wild defeated the Utah Hockey Club 5-0.

Our model predicted the Wild would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Wild and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Wild and was a contributing factor: Wild rest advantage (2 days rest) over Utah Hockey Club (7 days rest)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Wild won 5-0

Wild won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Wild at 58%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Wild
  • Rest DaysFavors Minnesota Wild
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
MIN
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours UTA|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/9/2026, 7:27:57 AM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Anson ThorntonG
Matt VillaltaG
Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Colten McIntyreG

Wild

Calvin PickardG
Cal PetersenG
Riley MercerG
Jesper WallstedtG
Filip GustavssonG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Wild has a 58% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.

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