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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Los Angeles Kings

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Kings logo
Kings
Los Angeles
2
vs
LAK 50%50% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Kings 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Kings:

  • Home Field Advantage. Kings are 0-0 at home this season

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: LAK 46% (−4)
  • If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: LAK 52% (+2)
  • If the rest edge were neutral: LAK 52% (+2)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: LAK 52% (+2)

Win probability movement

LAK home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement56%51%45%Mar 25Mar 28

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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Venuecrypto.com Arena
Los Angeles, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Kings (home)
50%
Win probability
50%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Kings 6-2.

Our model predicted the Kings would win with 50% confidence, but the Utah Hockey Club won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kings and was a notable factor: Kings are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club offense (3.2 PPG) outpaces Kings (2.6 PPG)
  • Rest Days favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club rest advantage (2 days rest) over Kings (1 day rest)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Utah Hockey Club won 2-6

Utah Hockey Club won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Kings at 50%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Kings
  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Rest DaysFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
LAK
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Recent Form
Defensive Efficiency
Favours UTA|Favours LAK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/28/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Matt VillaltaG
Jaxson StauberG
Colten McIntyreG
Karel VejmelkaG
Anson ThorntonG

Kings

Carter GeorgeG
Darcy KuemperG
Anton ForsbergG
Liam LefebvreC
Samuel HeleniusC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kings has a 50% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA.

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