Utah Utah Hockey Club at Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue Jackets 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blue Jackets:
- Home Field Advantage. Columbus Blue Jackets are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CBJ 50% (−4)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: CBJ 55% (+1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: CBJ 54% (0)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: CBJ 54% (0)
Win probability movement
CBJ home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Blue Jackets 5-4.
Our model predicted the Blue Jackets would win with 54% confidence, but the Utah Hockey Club won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jackets and was a notable factor: Columbus Blue Jackets are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club defense (2.7 Opp PPG) better than Columbus Blue Jackets (3.1 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Columbus Blue Jackets (32-21) vs Utah Hockey Club (33-25)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Utah Hockey Club won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Recent FormNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Utah Hockey Club
Blue Jackets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blue Jackets has a 54% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH.