Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Utah Hockey Club
Utah Utah Hockey Club 57% to win. The biggest signal favoring Utah Hockey Club:
- Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 2-0 at home this season; Lightning are 2-2 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Lightning at Utah Hockey Club
The Lightning visit the Utah Hockey Club at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Utah Hockey Club a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Lightning will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Utah Hockey Club (medium): Utah Hockey Club are 2-0 at home this season; Lightning are 2-2 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Lightning (low): Lightning (4-1) in better form than Utah Hockey Club (4-2)
- ELO Rating favors the Lightning (low): Utah Hockey Club ELO 1509 vs Lightning ELO 1533 (diff: -23)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Recent FormFavors Tampa Bay Lightning
- ELO RatingFavors Tampa Bay Lightning
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Lightning
Utah Hockey Club
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Utah Hockey Club has a 57% win probability, while Lightning has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.