Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators
Tampa Bay Lightning 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Lightning:
- Recent Form. Lightning (5-2) in better form than Predators (2-2)
- ELO Rating. Predators ELO 1467 vs Lightning ELO 1528 (diff: -62)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Lightning at Predators
The Lightning visit the Predators at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Lightning a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Predators will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Recent Form favors the Lightning (low): Lightning (5-2) in better form than Predators (2-2)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Predators (low): Predators are 2-4 at home this season; Lightning are 2-3 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Lightning (low): Predators ELO 1467 vs Lightning ELO 1528 (diff: -62)
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Tampa Bay Lightning
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Nashville Predators
- ELO RatingFavors Tampa Bay Lightning
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Lightning
Predators
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Predators has a 48% win probability, while Lightning has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN.