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St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Stars logo
Stars
Dallas
0
vs
Blues logo
Blues
St. Louis
4
DAL 56%44% STL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Dallas Stars 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Stars:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: DAL 52% (−4)

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VenueHonda Center
Anaheim, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blues (away)
Stars (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blues defeated the Stars 4-0.

Our model predicted the Stars would win with 56% confidence, but the Blues won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Stars and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blues won 0-4

Blues won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Stars at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Stars
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

STL
DAL
Home Field Advantage
Favours STL|Favours DAL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/8/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Blues

Georgi RomanovG
Joel HoferG
Jordan BinningtonG
Tynan LawrenceC
Dillon DubeC

Stars

Ben KrawsG
Jake OettingerG
Casey DeSmithG
Brandon HalversonG
Wyatt JohnstonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Stars has a 56% win probability, while Blues has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA.

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