San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Maple Leafs:
- Home Field Advantage. Maple Leafs are 3-3 at home this season; Sharks are 1-2 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Sharks at Maple Leafs
The Sharks visit the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Maple Leafs a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Sharks will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Maple Leafs (medium): Maple Leafs are 3-3 at home this season; Sharks are 1-2 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Sharks (low): Sharks (2-1) in better form than Maple Leafs (2-2)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Maple Leafs ELO 1467 vs Sharks ELO 1453 (diff: +14)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Maple Leafs
- Recent FormFavors San Jose Sharks
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Sharks
Maple Leafs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Maple Leafs has a 56% win probability, while Sharks has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.