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San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Senators logo
Senators
Ottawa
0
vs
Sharks logo
Sharks
San Jose
0
OTT 59%41% SJS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Ottawa Senators 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Senators:

  • Home Field Advantage. Senators are 2-1 at home this season; Sharks are 2-2 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Senators ELO 1512 vs Sharks ELO 1458 (diff: +54)

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VenueCanadian Tire Centre
Ottawa, ON

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Sharks (away)
Senators (home)
41%
Win probability
59%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Sharks at Senators

The Sharks visit the Senators at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Senators a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Sharks will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Senators (medium): Senators are 2-1 at home this season; Sharks are 2-2 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Senators (low): Senators ELO 1512 vs Sharks ELO 1458 (diff: +54)
  • Recent Form is neutral: Similar form: Senators (3-1) vs Sharks (3-1)
Senators59%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors OTT

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Ottawa Senators
  • ELO RatingFavors Ottawa Senators
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SJS
OTT
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours SJS|Favours OTT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/9/2026, 8:50:06 AM

Key Players

Sharks

Kyle KeyserG
Alex NedeljkovicG
Yaroslav AskarovG
Alexander WennbergC
Alex Barre-BouletC

Senators

Samuel ErssonG
Linus UllmarkG
Tim StutzleC
Dylan CozensC
Ridly GreigC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Senators has a 59% win probability, while Sharks has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON.

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