PlayDecoded
Menu

Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Canucks logo
Canucks
Vancouver
2
vs
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
5
VAN 56%44% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Vancouver Canucks 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Canucks:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: VAN 52% (−4)

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueRogers Arena
Vancouver, BC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Kraken (away)
Canucks (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Kraken defeated the Canucks 5-2.

Our model predicted the Canucks would win with 56% confidence, but the Kraken won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Canucks and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Kraken won 2-5

Kraken won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Canucks at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Vancouver Canucks
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
VAN
Home Field Advantage
Favours SEA|Favours VAN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/14/2026, 8:50:03 AM

Key Players

Kraken

Nikke KokkoG
Philipp GrubauerG
Victor OstmanG
Matt MurrayG
Joey DaccordG

Canucks

Leevi MerilainenG
Kevin LankinenG
Nikita TolopiloG
Thatcher DemkoG
Linus KarlssonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Canucks has a 56% win probability, while Kraken has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.

View all NHL games