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Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Panthers logo
Panthers
Florida
5
vs
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
4
FLA 56%44% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Florida Panthers 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Panthers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: FLA 52% (−4)

Win probability movement

FLA home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement61%56%51%Mar 21Mar 24

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueAmerant Bank Arena
Sunrise, FL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Kraken (away)
Panthers (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Panthers defeated the Kraken 5-4.

Our model predicted the Panthers would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Panthers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Panthers (0 out) vs Kraken (0 out)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Rest days data not available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Panthers won 5-4

Panthers won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Panthers at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Florida Panthers
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
FLA
Home Field Advantage
Favours SEA|Favours FLA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/24/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Kraken

Victor OstmanG
Joey DaccordG
Philipp GrubauerG
Nikke KokkoG
Matt MurrayG

Panthers

Jacob MarkstromG
Akira SchmidG
Cooper BlackG
Ryder CaliC
Sam BennettC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Panthers has a 56% win probability, while Kraken has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL.

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