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Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Utah Hockey Club

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
vs
Penguins logo
Penguins
Pittsburgh
4
UTA 56%44% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Utah Utah Hockey Club 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Utah Hockey Club:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: UTA 52% (−4)

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VenueDelta Center
Salt Lake City, UT

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Penguins (away)
Utah Hockey Club (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Penguins defeated the Utah Hockey Club 4-3.

Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 56% confidence, but the Penguins won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Penguins won 3-4

Penguins won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Utah Hockey Club at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PIT
UTA
Home Field Advantage
Favours PIT|Favours UTA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/14/2026, 8:50:02 AM

Key Players

Penguins

Sergei MurashovG
Arturs SilovsG
Taylor GauthierG
Blake LizotteC
Sidney CrosbyC

Utah Hockey Club

Colten McIntyreG
Matt VillaltaG
Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Anson ThorntonG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Utah Hockey Club has a 56% win probability, while Penguins has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.

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