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Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
3
vs
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
2
CAR 56%44% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueLenovo Center
Raleigh, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Flyers (away)
Hurricanes (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hurricanes defeated the Flyers 3-2.

Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hurricanes won 3-2

Hurricanes won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Hurricanes at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
CAR
Home Field Advantage
Favours PHI|Favours CAR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Hurricanes

Our Model56%

Flyers

Our Model44%

Odds by Sportsbook

SourceHurricanesFlyersSpreadO/U
DraftKings-270+220-1.55.5
FanDuel-245+198-1.55.5

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/4/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Flyers

Dan VladarG
Aleksei KolosovG
Samuel ErssonG
Carson BjarnasonG
Jett LuchankoC

Hurricanes

Brandon BussiG
Frederik AndersenG
Pyotr KochetkovG
Logan StankovenC
Sebastian AhoC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Hurricanes has a 56% win probability, while Flyers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.

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