PlayDecoded
Menu

New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHLregular • 2025-26 Season
completed
Blue Jackets logo
Blue Jackets
Columbus
6
vs
Rangers logo
Rangers
New York
3
CBJ 56%44% NYR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Columbus Blue Jackets 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blue Jackets:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: CBJ 52% (−4)

Win probability movement

CBJ home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement61%56%51%Mar 16Mar 19

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueNationwide Arena
Columbus, OH

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rangers (away)
Blue Jackets (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blue Jackets defeated the Rangers 6-3.

Our model predicted the Blue Jackets would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jackets and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Blue Jackets (0 out) vs Rangers (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blue Jackets won 6-3

Blue Jackets won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blue Jackets at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYR
CBJ
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYR|Favours CBJ

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/19/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Rangers

No player data available

Blue Jackets

Elvis MerzlikinsG
Pheonix CopleyG
Jet GreavesG
Cam TalbotG
Owen SillingerC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blue Jackets has a 56% win probability, while Rangers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH.

View all NHL games