New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks 57% to win. The biggest signal favoring Ducks:
- Home Field Advantage. Dallas Stars are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ANA 52% (−5)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: ANA 56% (−1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: ANA 56% (−1)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: ANA 56% (−1)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Ducks defeated the Islanders 5-1.
Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 57% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Ducks and was a notable factor: Dallas Stars are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar defensive efficiency (2.7 vs 2.8 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Dallas Stars (38-14) vs Carolina Hurricanes (38-16)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Ducks won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Islanders
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Ducks has a 57% win probability, while Islanders has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.