Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Canucks:
- Home Field Advantage. Canucks are 0-0 at home this season
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: VAN 48% (−4)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: VAN 54% (+2)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: VAN 53% (+1)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: VAN 53% (+1)
Win probability movement
VAN home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Canucks defeated the Predators 4-3.
Our model predicted the Canucks would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Canucks and was a notable factor: Canucks are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form favored the Predators and was a contributing factor: Predators (28-26) in better form than Canucks (19-36)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Predators and was a contributing factor: Predators offense (2.9 PPG) outpaces Canucks (2.6 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Canucks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Vancouver Canucks
- Recent FormFavors Nashville Predators
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Nashville Predators
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Predators
Canucks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canucks has a 52% win probability, while Predators has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.