Nashville Predators at New Jersey Devils
New Jersey Devils 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Devils:
- Home Field Advantage. Devils are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency. Devils defense (3.0 Opp PPG) better than Predators (3.4 Opp PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NJD 52% (−5)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: NJD 55% (−2)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: NJD 57% (0)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: NJD 56% (−1)
Win probability movement
NJD home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Predators defeated the Devils 4-2.
Our model predicted the Devils would win with 57% confidence, but the Predators won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Devils and was a notable factor: Devils are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Devils and was a contributing factor: Devils defense (3.0 Opp PPG) better than Predators (3.4 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Predators and was a contributing factor: Predators offense (2.9 PPG) outpaces Devils (2.5 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Predators won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New Jersey Devils
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors New Jersey Devils
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Nashville Predators
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Predators
Devils
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Devils has a 57% win probability, while Predators has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at TD Garden in Boston, MA.