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New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Capitals logo
Capitals
Washington
0
vs
Devils logo
Devils
New Jersey
0
WSH 64%36% NJD
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Washington Capitals 64% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Capitals:

  • Home Field Advantage. Capitals are 3-0 at home this season; Devils are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Recent Form. Capitals (2-1) in better form than Devils (1-2)
  • ELO Rating. Capitals ELO 1566 vs Devils ELO 1507 (diff: +60)

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VenueCapital One Arena
Washington, DC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Devils (away)
Capitals (home)
36%
Win probability
64%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Devils at Capitals

The Devils visit the Capitals at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Capitals a 64% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Devils will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Capitals (medium): Capitals are 3-0 at home this season; Devils are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Recent Form favors the Capitals (low): Capitals (2-1) in better form than Devils (1-2)
  • ELO Rating favors the Capitals (low): Capitals ELO 1566 vs Devils ELO 1507 (diff: +60)
Capitals64%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors WSH

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Washington Capitals
  • Recent FormFavors Washington Capitals
  • ELO RatingFavors Washington Capitals
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NJD
WSH
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours NJD|Favours WSH

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/8/2026, 8:50:05 AM

Key Players

Devils

Jake AllenG
Nico DawsG
Remi PoirierG
Jack HughesC
Dawson MercerC

Capitals

Charlie LindgrenG
Logan ThompsonG
Dylan StromeC
Aliaksei ProtasC
Boone JennerC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Capitals has a 64% win probability, while Devils has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.

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