New Jersey Devils at Vegas Golden Knights

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season

Scheduled

Golden Knights

Vegas

Devils

New Jersey

VGK 61%39% NJD

Prediction Confidence:

Moderate

Vegas Golden Knights 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Golden Knights:

Home Field Advantage. Golden Knights are 5-2 at home this season; Devils are 2-2 on the road
Recent Form. Golden Knights (7-2) in better form than Devils (4-3)
ELO Rating. Golden Knights ELO 1566 vs Devils ELO 1519 (diff: +47)

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VenueT-Mobile Arena

Las Vegas, NV

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Devils (away)

Golden Knights (home)

39%

Win probability

61%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Game Preview

Devils at Golden Knights

The Devils visit the Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Golden Knights a 61% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Devils will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

Home Field Advantage favors the Golden Knights (medium): Golden Knights are 5-2 at home this season; Devils are 2-2 on the road
Recent Form favors the Golden Knights (low): Golden Knights (7-2) in better form than Devils (4-3)
ELO Rating favors the Golden Knights (low): Golden Knights ELO 1566 vs Devils ELO 1519 (diff: +47)

Golden Knights61%

is favored to win

Key Factor

Home Field Advantage

Favors VGK

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

Home Field AdvantageFavors Vegas Golden Knights
Recent FormFavors Vegas Golden Knights
ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
Turnover DifferentialNeutral
Rest DaysNeutral
Head to HeadNeutral

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NJD

VGK

Home Field Advantage

Recent Form

ELO Rating

Favours NJD|Favours VGK

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Recent Form

Golden Knights (7-2) in better form than Devils (4-3)

Golden Knights

Turnover Differential

Golden Knights turnover differential (+0) vs Devils (+0)

Neutral

Offensive Efficiency

Offensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

Defensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: Golden Knights (0 out) vs Devils (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Medium impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Golden Knights are 5-2 at home this season; Devils are 2-2 on the road

Golden Knights

Rest & Schedule

Low impact

1 factor

Rest Days

Similar rest: Golden Knights (14 days rest) vs Devils (14 days rest)

Neutral

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

Other

Low impact

1 factor

ELO Rating

Golden Knights ELO 1566 vs Devils ELO 1519 (diff: +47)

Golden Knights

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/16/2026, 8:50:06 AM

Key Players

Devils

Jake AllenG

Nico DawsG

Remi PoirierG

Jack HughesC

Dawson MercerC

Golden Knights

Carter HartG

Adin HillG

Tomas HertlC

Brett HowdenC

William KarlssonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Golden Knights has a 61% win probability, while Devils has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.

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