New Jersey Devils at Nashville Predators
Nashville Predators 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Predators:
- Home Field Advantage. Predators are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency. Predators offense (2.9 PPG) outpaces Devils (2.5 PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NSH 51% (−4)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: NSH 56% (+1)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: NSH 54% (−1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: NSH 56% (+1)
Win probability movement
NSH home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Devils defeated the Predators 4-2.
Our model predicted the Predators would win with 55% confidence, but the Devils won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Predators and was a notable factor: Predators are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Devils and was a contributing factor: Devils defense (3.0 Opp PPG) better than Predators (3.4 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Predators and was a contributing factor: Predators offense (2.9 PPG) outpaces Devils (2.5 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Devils won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Nashville Predators
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors New Jersey Devils
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Nashville Predators
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Devils
Predators
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Predators has a 55% win probability, while Devils has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN.